Strongly Recommended Watch: Weapons expert Dr. Pavel Podvig: How likely is a nuclear war?
(youtube.com)
Freddie Sayers meets weapons expert Dr. Pavel Podvig.
Read the supporting article: https://unherd.com/thepost/dr-pavel-p...
Listen to the podcast version: https://shows.acast.com/lockdowntv-wi...
Since the invasion of Ukraine, the outcome that nobody has wanted to contemplate is that of Russian nuclear escalation. Threats that “mirror moves” would be made by the Kremlin if NATO expanded, as we heard in last week’s interview with UN representative for Russia Dmitry Polyanskiy, suggest that a strike might not be out of the question. With Finland and Sweden seeking to join NATO, is nuclear war more likely now that it was three months ago? By trying to push Vladimir Putin to the brink, is the West actually increasing the chance of a nuclear incident? What actually is the sequence of events that would lead to nuclear conflict?
To help us think through this difficult topic, UnHerd invited Dr. Pavel Podvig to the studio. Podvig is a senior researcher in the WMD programme at the Institute for Disarmament Research and a researcher with the programme on science and global security at Princeton University. He runs the world’s premier website dedicated to analysing Putin’s nuclear capability and edited the definitive encyclopaedia of Russian nuclear forces.
Dr. Podvig joined Freddie Sayers live from his office in Geneva.
Follow UnHerd on social media:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/unherd
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unherd/
// Timecodes //
00:00 - 01:43 - Introduction
01:43 - 04:30 - How many nuclear warheads does Russia have, and where are they?
04:30 - 08:13 - Are these nukes a relic from the Cold War? Do they even work?
08:13 - 12:56 - What is the decision-making process behind firing a nuclear weapon?
12:56 - 16:56 - What is an ‘existential threat’ for Russia?
16:56 - 20:24 - How would NATO respond to a Russian nuclear detonation?
20:24 - 24:57 - Is a nuclear incident now more likely than ever?
24:57 - 25:43 - Concluding thoughts
#UnHerd #pavelpodvig #nuclearwar
Read the supporting article: https://unherd.com/thepost/dr-pavel-p...
Listen to the podcast version: https://shows.acast.com/lockdowntv-wi...
Since the invasion of Ukraine, the outcome that nobody has wanted to contemplate is that of Russian nuclear escalation. Threats that “mirror moves” would be made by the Kremlin if NATO expanded, as we heard in last week’s interview with UN representative for Russia Dmitry Polyanskiy, suggest that a strike might not be out of the question. With Finland and Sweden seeking to join NATO, is nuclear war more likely now that it was three months ago? By trying to push Vladimir Putin to the brink, is the West actually increasing the chance of a nuclear incident? What actually is the sequence of events that would lead to nuclear conflict?
To help us think through this difficult topic, UnHerd invited Dr. Pavel Podvig to the studio. Podvig is a senior researcher in the WMD programme at the Institute for Disarmament Research and a researcher with the programme on science and global security at Princeton University. He runs the world’s premier website dedicated to analysing Putin’s nuclear capability and edited the definitive encyclopaedia of Russian nuclear forces.
Dr. Podvig joined Freddie Sayers live from his office in Geneva.
Follow UnHerd on social media:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/unherd
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unherd/
// Timecodes //
00:00 - 01:43 - Introduction
01:43 - 04:30 - How many nuclear warheads does Russia have, and where are they?
04:30 - 08:13 - Are these nukes a relic from the Cold War? Do they even work?
08:13 - 12:56 - What is the decision-making process behind firing a nuclear weapon?
12:56 - 16:56 - What is an ‘existential threat’ for Russia?
16:56 - 20:24 - How would NATO respond to a Russian nuclear detonation?
20:24 - 24:57 - Is a nuclear incident now more likely than ever?
24:57 - 25:43 - Concluding thoughts
#UnHerd #pavelpodvig #nuclearwar
-
- 1
Francisco Gimeno - BC Analyst A tricky question with only a rational answer knowing the history of Russia: only if they feel an existential threat against its country they can believe using nuclear devices is allowed. Of course, we don't count here if Putin believes himself a new Zar, or the new Stalin, without human empathy, or he is just a normal oligarch which has made a big political mistake. So the war is, at the end, a game, and players have to be very careful not to make moves which are negative for their own sides. Listen to this and let's pray that no human error happens in the way.